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Critics worry B.C.’s status quo budget imperils climate targets

#1557 of 2542 articles from the Special Report: Race Against Climate Change
B.C. Premier John Horgan tours the LNG Canada Kitimat site, a project critics say will sabotage provincial emissions targets. Photo by B.C. government

The same week Canada and countries around the world committed to even more ambitious emissions targets, B.C. delivered a budget with lacklustre commitment to climate change and the environment, critics say.

The provincial NDP budget reserved most of any new COVID-19 response spending in the next three years to capital projects, health care, business supports, a pandemic response and a contingency fund.

Forestalling environmentalists’ hopes that B.C.’s COVID-19 response would be based on a green recovery, the province earmarked $506 million for its climate plan, CleanBC. This represents a marginal increase over the $419 million in extra funding committed in its 2020 budget, but almost half of the $902 million the province allocated to climate initiatives in 2019.

Reaction to the budget from clean energy think tanks and environmental groups in the province has ranged from at best, tepid, to at worst, scathing. Many expressed concern B.C. won’t be able to meet its climate change targets, particularly given the province’s commitment to the liquefied natural gas (LNG) export industry.

Missed opportunity for transformational change, Greens say

BC Green Party Leader Sonia Furstenau says the NDP budget missed the chance to make transformational climate changes during the COVID-19 recovery. Photo courtesy of BC Green Party
“The problem is that there’s no sense of a collective vision for the economy that transitions away from fossil fuels,” says BC Green Party Leader Sonia Furstenau of the budget's failure to combat #ClimateChange #BCpoli

BC Green Party Leader Sonia Furstenau said the government’s status quo budget represents a missed opportunity to take a bold approach on climate change and inequality — the two most urgent and important issues after dealing with COVID-19.

There were limited financial commitments to CleanBC — the provincial plan to meet greenhouse gas emission targets — but the budget didn’t envision or tie the province’s pandemic recovery to climate improvements, Furstenau told Canada’s National Observer.

“It's like nothing has happened between 2019 and right now to change this government's view on how it can be transformative,” she said.

The problem isn't only inadequate funding or the individual climate line items in the budget. It's not approaching the climate change in a holistic manner, Furstenau added.

“It's about recognizing that until you apply a climate lens to all of the work you're doing, then you’re not going to be achieving any kind of climate-informed goals,” she said.

“The problem is that there’s no sense of a collective vision for the economy that transitions away from fossil fuels.”

Province’s emissions heading up, not down

The province has legislated targets to drop emissions to 40 per cent below 2007 levels by 2030, and 60 per cent by 2040. Premier John Horgan has also promised a new target of net zero by 2050.

Yet B.C.’s emissions are heading the wrong way. They’ve been on the rise since 2015 and saw a three per cent rise in gross emissions between 2017 and 2018.

Data from 2018 indicates B.C.'s emissions have been on the rise since 2015, and the province predicts they will remain steady before declining in 2021. Chart from B.C. Government trends in GHG emissions

In 2018, B.C.’s net greenhouse gas emissions came in at 66.9 million tonnes, and according to federal estimates, they remained much the same in 2019 — representing a six per cent rise over the 2007 baseline.

The transportation and fossil fuel sectors, particularly natural gas production and processing, are the biggest sources of emissions in B.C.

Heavy-duty transportation and fossil fuels, particularly natural gas production and processing, are the greatest sources of emissions in B.C. Chart from B.C. Government trends in GHG emissions

Dollars for cleantech and transportation

The budget’s climate dollars included $96 million to the CleanBC program to help industries reduce emissions and expand the province’s cleantech sector. Another $60 million is heading to the Centre for Innovation and Clean Energy for cleantech investments to build partnership opportunities with the federal government.

Clean transportation initiatives will receive $130 million — including $94 million in rebates for electric cars and charging stations. Some funds will also go to electrifying heavy vehicles, like school buses, ferries and government fleets.

Kids will ride transit for free, and a further $10 million will focus on policy to drop fuel emissions and develop the hydrogen economy in B.C.

There’s also $46 million to improve energy efficiency in buildings such as schools or hospitals and $34 million to shift remote and Indigenous communities from diesel power to electric.

Critics decry climate commitments as fragmented, too small

The budget initiatives are all positive steps, but are too small in scale and fragmented from any overall strategy to deal with the crisis that climate change represents, Furstenau said.

“Incrementalism in response to climate change is so underwhelming and so inadequate right now,” Furstenau said.

Karen Tam Wu, B.C. director at the Pembina Institute, agreed the budget takes small steps towards the province’s climate goals.

However, the institute had been hoping to see the investment necessary to meet B.C.’s reduction targets and secure a strong foothold for the province to compete in a decarbonized global economy, Wu said in a statement.

In particular, the investments to reduce emissions from the homes and buildings in communities by at least 60 per cent by 2030 were inadequate to the task, Wu said.

“We have the tremendous task in B.C. of switching more than 80,000 heated homes and apartment buildings each year from natural gas to high-efficiency heat pumps to meet B.C.’s target to reduce emissions,” Wu said.

B.C. has reduced emissions from light-duty vehicles, but medium- and heavy-duty vehicle emissions are rising and will also be a challenge to reduce, she added.

CleanBC plan will fuel low-carbon economy, province says

Minister of Environment and Climate Change Strategy George Heyman says CleanBC, the provincial climate plan to meet emissions targets, accounts for LNG greenhouse gas outputs. Photo courtesy of B.C. government

Environment and Climate Change Strategy Minister George Heyman said B.C. has allocated $2.2 billion over a five-year period to meet its emissions targets, not including the half-billion-dollar investment in 2021.

“I would say that B.C. has made substantial investments in emissions reduction to fight climate change. We have a comprehensive plan, we're adding to it,” Heyman said.

The province’s commitment is only going to increase in tandem with new national and international ambitions to tackle climate change, he said.

“That is going to fuel the low-carbon economy, and B.C. is well-placed to make and help lead that transition,” Heyman said.

By year’s end, the province will release a detailed strategy or roadmap on how it will meet its interim target of a drop of 16 per cent by 2025 and the 2030 goalpost that now includes new reduction goals for some industrial sectors, he said.

Once the strategy is released, its measures will likely be reflected in the 2022-23 budget, he said, adding progress and spending will be monitored as dictated by the climate change accountability legislation.

“The planning and process to meet B.C.’s targets is ongoing,” Heyman said.

“I think for people to expect to see everything all at once is commendable, but unrealistic,” he said.

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